Each year the NBA draft seems to sneak up with no real notice, like that cop on the highway waiting to bag you for a speeding ticket. Maybe it’s because it happens so quickly after the NBA Finals have ended, or maybe it’s because there isn’t a year long song and dance surrounding it as the NFL has. No matter the reason the NBA draft is officially less than a week away.
Many people are still riding that high of the Stanley Cup being back in Boston for the first time in 39 years, but lets face facts, the Boston Celtics have a lot of work to do in this offseason. That work begins Thursday night June 23rd in Newark.
Approaching this draft is not going to be an easy obstacle. It is well known that this year’s crop of youngsters are not near as well rounded as draft classes of the past. Then again, nor was last year’s group of draftees.
Each organization’s draft philosophy could easily be different from the next. Some will draft for need based on the weakest aspect of their current roster. Others will go after the best available remaining on the board, based on their grade of the player.
Looking back at the past three drafts, the Celtics approach has seemed to be based on need, to help fill roles they view as weak. In those three drafts the Celts have grabbed six players. Of the six drafted to Boston, just one remains on the roster, Avery Bradley (who was last year’s first round selection for Boston).
Of the others, two were traded to Cleveland, and for all intents and purposes will be on their roster next year, in Luke Harangody (last year’s second round selection) and Semih Erden (second round pick in 2008). Bill Walker (2008 second round pick) is currently under contract with the New York Knicks and does see some court time, while two others are out of the league entirely. Lester Hudson (second round pick in 2009) currently plays in China and J.R. Giddens (first round, 2008) is playing overseas in Poland.
The purpose of dredging up all these recent picks that have never blossomed for Boston is to do exactly that. Remind everyone of how terrible the Celtics strategy has been year-after-year at draft time.
Now your argument may be that the Celtics have just been so good as of late that their picks are in an area where you don’t normally land top tier players. While that may be true, lets take a look at what could have been.
Avery Bradley was without a doubt a good find at 19th overall last year. He can be an NBA contributor if given the chance, however, drafted after him was Greivis Vasquez who contributed this year to a Memphis team that went further than anticipated. Landry Fields was another player that was still available when the Celts took Bradley, Fields went in the second round. Again, I have no problem with that selection.
In 2009 the Celtics had the 58th overall selection, and that was it. It’s hard to fault them when only two players were selected after Hudson. The draft class of 2008 is where the problems are glaring.
The second round selection of Walker, at the time, was a good pick and that is confirmed now by the fact he is still getting minutes in New York. However, after Giddens, who was the last selection of the first round, players such as Mario Chalmers, DeAndre Jordan, Omer Asik, even Goran Dragic were selected in the second round.
Imagine having DeAndre Jordan catching lobs from Rajon Rondo? Or even the towering versatile force that Omer Asik has become wandering the lane on both ends of the floor. Two big men that could have taken a vital role for this Celtics team.
Maybe the draft isn’t an exact science. It is hard to measure the heart and drive of a player. So the question comes down to drafting for need, or best available.
General Manager Danny Ainge has already come out and said, “Historically, the odds of a number 25 draft pick breaking into a rotation is like six percent.” So Danny is already preparing you for the worst, and why shouldn’t he. With the retirement of Shaquille O’Neal and the move of Nenad Krstic to Russia the Celts have very few big men for next season, yet the five most recent guys to have workouts with Boston were all swingmen and guards.
This draft is thin, absolutely, but it is also unpredictable.
If Boston addresses this draft based on need, the general consensus must be looking for a big man. There will be a few potential big men available late in this draft, one being Jeremy Tyler, the 6’11″ big man from Tokyo, yes Tokyo. He has a 7’5″ wingspan and could go anywhere from mid-first round to mid-second round. He is most famous for dropping out of high school after his Junior year to play abroad in hopes of gaining professional experience. The plan slightly back-fired as he couldn’t handle Israel and finished his overseas stint in Japan.
Other big’s worth checking out:
The Morris twins, if they drop on the board (which I doubt) Marcus and Markeiff. Two guys just under 7′ who contributed to a very impressive Kansas team.
Nikola Vucevic, son of a former Yugoslavian national team player, who is leaving USC early. Vucevic is a 6’11″ center, who plays around the basket and can use his 260 lbs. frame.
Tennessee’s one-and-done Tobias Harris is a bit of a “tweener” at just 6’8″ with a thick frame. He played power forward in college and despite his soft touch from outside, I don’t believe he could actually play small forward in the NBA. To me he needs to mold himself after a Glen Davis type.
Finally, Jordan Williams from Maryland. Another short-but-thick guy, at 6’9″ he comes in right around 250 lbs.
The only other long shots for big men, mainly because they would be a reach for the first round, would be Jon Leuer of Wisconsin, JaJuan Johnson from Purdue, and Trey Thompkins of Georgia. Leuer is the tallest of the three at 7’0″, while the other two come in at 6’10″. Johnson is more of an face up type player with great athletic ability, while Thompkins is similar with more of a post mentality and slightly less athletic than Johnson (but ever so slight).
This is all assuming, because it’s probably correct, that Kenneth Faried, the nation’s leading rebounder, and Bismack Biyombo will be off the board in the lottery or mid-first round.
Now if you’re in the mindset that this team simply needs to begin rebuilding all together and support building in the backcourt rather than the front, look for these guys:
Reggie Jackson we all know from Boston College, the 6’3″ point guard can score and at a high percentage rate. He is, however, coming off of a knee injury.
Iman Shumpert can play either guard spot, an athletic combo-guard type with a 6’5″ and 220 lbs. frame who has the athletisicm to play lockdown defense at the next level.
Tyler Honeycutt (if he drops) is a swingman, more of a small forward type with a slender frame at 6’7″ and 187 lbs. who looks a bit like a Tayshaun Prince.
Although Marshon Brooks has been climbing up draft boards with his workouts, there is still a chance the 6’5″ shooting guard from Providence will be on the board. Brooks can put the ball in the hole, as the second leading scorer in the country this past NCAA season. You may remember him from his 52 point outburst in a loss to Notre Dame in February.
What the Celtics will do seems to always be a mystery, there is always that possibility of a trade as well. One definite is that this draft may be the last positive aspect of The Association we have to talk about for months. The NBA collective bargaining agreement is set to expire at the end of this month. By midnight July 1st there will be an official lockout.
The question is, which will happen first, the NBA lockout begins or the NFL lockout ends?
Sean Sendall – follow me on Twitter